Sunday, 15 March 2015

The Power of Compounding Interest, the number 72 and .... how long will it take an investment to double in size.

"Compounding interest is the eighth wonder of the world", according to Albert Einstein. We all understand the basic concept of it. However, the magnitude of it is sometimes lost. If your great grandfather invested just $25 for you 100 years ago and you managed to get 10% interest on it per year it would now be worth $344,515.31. 


How can $25 turn into a whopping $ $344,515.31 in 100 years? 


Compounding. Every year, you get interest on the capital that you originally invested but you also get interest on the interest from the previous year.  This table might help to illustrate compound interest in action. 


This shows how a $10,000 investment getting 10% interest per year will become over $41,000 in five years. 


Year BeginYearsInterestYear end value
£10,000.000-110%£11,000.00
£11,000.001-210%£13,310.00
£13,310.002-310%£17,715.61
£17,715.613-410%£25,937.42
£25,937.424-510%£41,772.48


The interest rate that you get makes a big difference. Look at the table below to see some comparisons:

Lump sumYears left forInterest Year end value
£10,000.00105%£16,288.95
£10,000.001010%£25,937.42
£10,000.00205%£26,532.98
£10,000.002010%£67,275.00
£10,000.00305%£43,219.42
£10,000.003010%£174,494.02


Over the past seven years interest rates have been fairly low, well below 5% in most developed countries. However, prior to the recession interest rates were floating from 5% - 17%!


Click HERE to see the bank of England's historical interest rates. A briefer version is pasted below: 



Date%Date%
Thu, 05 Jul 20075.75Wed, 04 Sep 199110.375
Thu, 11 Jan 20075.25Fri, 24 May 199111.375
Thu, 03 Aug 20064.75Fri, 22 Mar 199112.375
Thu, 05 Aug 20044.75Wed, 13 Feb 199113.375
Thu, 06 May 20044.25Fri, 06 Oct 198914.875
Thu, 06 Nov 20033.75Mon, 04 Sep 198913.875
Thu, 06 Feb 20033.75Thu, 25 May 198913.75
Thu, 04 Oct 20014.5Thu, 25 Aug 198811.875
Thu, 02 Aug 20015Thu, 21 Jul 198810.375
Thu, 10 May 20015.25Thu, 07 Jul 19889.875
Thu, 08 Feb 20015.75Fri, 10 Jun 19888.375
Thu, 13 Jan 20005.75Tue, 17 May 19887.375
Wed, 08 Sep 19995.25Thu, 17 Mar 19888.375
Thu, 10 Jun 19995Mon, 01 Feb 19888.875
Thu, 04 Feb 19995.5Wed, 04 Nov 19878.875
Thu, 10 Dec 19986.25Thu, 06 Aug 19879.875
Thu, 08 Oct 19987.25Tue, 28 Apr 19879.375
Thu, 06 Nov 19977.25Mon, 09 Mar 198710.375
Thu, 07 Aug 19977Wed, 15 Oct 198610.875
Fri, 06 Jun 19976.5Fri, 18 Apr 198610.375
Tue, 06 May 19976.25Fri, 11 Apr 198610.875
Thu, 06 Jun 19965.6875Wed, 15 Jan 198612.375
Wed, 07 Dec 19946.125Wed, 20 Mar 198513.375
Mon, 12 Sep 19945.625Mon, 28 Jan 198513.875

So it might not seem worth while saving with today's current interest rates but, if they return to previous highs then savers should be able to grow their retirement funds with ease. Additionally, interest isn't just confined to the interest payments paid by banks. If you have shares (stocks) that rise in value and/or pay dividends every year then this rise (called the yield) can be calculated as interest. That is, as long as you reinvest the dividend payments. 

Take a Step Back
The rises in wealth can be dramatic. However, there is something that needs to be taken into account before you can calculate how much a pot of wealth has really risen. Inflation will continually eat away at the real value of your savings. Hopefully the amount that your savings are earning will be beating the rate of inflation. 

If you're unsure of what inflation and deflation are, click here (links coming soon) for a brief summary. 


The number 72? 
To workout how long it will take for your investment portfolio to double you:

divide 72 by the interest rate that your getting. 

For example: if you're getting 5% interest on your savings of $10,000, it will take 72/5 = 14.4 years to double (turning your $10,000 into $20,000).  Change 5% to 8% and it will be 72/8 = 9. It will take 9 years to double 

Reverse it
To work out how much interest you need to double your investment in a set period of time you can do the same. 

For example: You have $10,000 and you want to know what interest rate you will need for it will become $20,000 in 10 years. The maths would be 72/10 = 7.2. You would need to be getting 7.2%  interest on your investment for it to double in 10 years. 

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